All ProbBrain Signals

SIG-111 geopolitics shadow

SHADOW

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 16% Gap +4.6pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-110 finance

PENDING

Fed rate hike in 2026?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 4% Gap +5.2pp Closes 2026-12-09

SIG-109 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 20% Gap +0.2pp Closes 2026-06-21

SIG-108 science

PENDING

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 100% Gap +6.0pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-107 geopolitics shadow

SHADOW

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 22% Ours 21% Gap +0.2pp Closes 2026-05-15

SIG-106 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

NO underpriced Market 22% Ours 21% Gap +0.5pp Closes 2028-11-07

SIG-105 geopolitics shadow

SHADOW

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 22% Ours 18% Gap +3.3pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-104 geopolitics shadow

SHADOW

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 22% Ours 18% Gap +3.4pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-103 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

YES underpriced Market 22% Ours 22% Gap +0.2pp Closes 2027-04-30

SIG-102 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

NO underpriced Market 22% Ours 20% Gap +1.1pp Closes 2027-04-30

SIG-101 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YES underpriced Market 22% Ours 22% Gap +0.1pp Closes 2028-11-07

SIG-100 politics shadow

SHADOW

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 17% Gap +3.4pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-099 tech

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 23% Ours 5% Gap +18.0pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-098 finance

PENDING

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 3% Gap +17.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-097 geopolitics

WIN

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 28% Ours 5% Gap +22.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-096 geopolitics

PENDING

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 32% Ours 7% Gap +24.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-095 geopolitics

WIN

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

YES underpriced Market 72% Ours 85% Gap +13.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-094 crypto

WIN

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

NO underpriced Market 16% Ours 5% Gap +10.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-093 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?

NO underpriced Market 44% Ours 15% Gap +29.5pp Closes 2026-05-15

SIG-092 politics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Trump out as President by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 2% Ours 0% Gap +1.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-091 commodities

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

NO underpriced Market 4% Ours 2% Gap +2.4pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-090 geopolitics

WIN

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

NO underpriced Market 13% Ours 4% Gap +9.0pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-089 commodities

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

NO underpriced Market 14% Ours 5% Gap +8.6pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-088 commodities

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

NO underpriced Market 7% Ours 1% Gap +6.0pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-087 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 9% Ours 2% Gap +7.7pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-086 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

NO underpriced Market 26% Ours 10% Gap +16.5pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-085 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Iran leadership change by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 19% Ours 8% Gap +11.0pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-084 geopolitics

PENDING

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 26% Ours 6% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-083 geopolitics

WIN

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

NO underpriced Market 23% Ours 13% Gap +10.0pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-082 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

NO underpriced Market 14% Ours 7% Gap +7.5pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-081 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Iran leadership change by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 11% Ours 3% Gap +8.0pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-080 commodities

LOSS

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

NO underpriced Market 24% Ours 5% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-05-01

SIG-079 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 30% Ours 18% Gap +11.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-078 geopolitics

PENDING

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 20% Gap +13.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-077 other

PENDING

Canada recession before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 40% Ours 27% Gap +13.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-076 geopolitics

PENDING

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

NO underpriced Market 14% Ours 4% Gap +10.5pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-075 geopolitics

WIN

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 30% Ours 10% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-074 geopolitics

WIN

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 24% Ours 6% Gap +17.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-073 geopolitics

PENDING

Iran leadership change by December 31?

NO underpriced Market 40% Ours 18% Gap +21.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-072 geopolitics

PENDING

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

NO underpriced Market 30% Ours 11% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-070 geopolitics

WIN

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 8% Gap +11.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-069 geopolitics

LOSS

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 55% Ours 30% Gap +24.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-068 geopolitics

LOSS

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

NO underpriced Market 28% Ours 8% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-05-15

SIG-067 geopolitics

LOSS

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

NO underpriced Market 69% Ours 55% Gap +14.0pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-066 geopolitics

WIN

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 22% Gap +11.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-065 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

NO underpriced Market 70% Ours 55% Gap +14.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-064 geopolitics

LOSS

US × Iran ceasefire by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 46% Ours 30% Gap +16.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-063 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 18% Gap +16.5pp Closes 2026-05-31

SIG-062 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

NO underpriced Market 18% Ours 7% Gap +10.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-061 politics

PENDING

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

NO underpriced Market 12% Ours 3% Gap +9.0pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-060 geopolitics

PENDING

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 16% Ours 7% Gap +9.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-059 politics

PENDING

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

YES underpriced Market 66% Ours 82% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-04-12

SIG-058 politics

WIN

Will TISZA win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

YES underpriced Market 70% Ours 82% Gap +12.5pp Closes 2026-04-12

SIG-057 politics

PENDING

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

YES underpriced Market 74% Ours 95% Gap +20.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-052 geopolitics

PENDING

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

NO underpriced Market 10% Ours 2% Gap +7.9pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-051 geopolitics

WIN

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 55% Ours 20% Gap +34.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-050 geopolitics

WIN

Will US forces enter Iran by December 31?

YES underpriced Market 74% Ours 92% Gap +17.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-049 geopolitics

PENDING

Will Russia-Ukraine ceasefire be reached before GTA VI releases?

NO underpriced Market 54% Ours 20% Gap +33.5pp Closes 2026-09-04

SIG-048 crypto

PENDING

Will Bitcoin hit $1M before GTA VI?

NO underpriced Market 49% Ours 0% Gap +48.4pp Closes 2026-08-22

SIG-047 geopolitics

PENDING

Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI releases?

NO underpriced Market 52% Ours 15% Gap +37.0pp Closes 2026-07-31

SIG-045 politics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

YES underpriced Market 34% Ours 45% Gap +11.0pp Closes 2026-11-30

SIG-044 general

WIN

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

YES underpriced Market 18% Ours 100% Gap +81.9pp Closes 2026-03-31

SIG-043 general

LOSS

Predators vs. Lightning

YES underpriced Market 36% Ours 38% Gap +2.5pp Closes 2026-03-29T21:00:00+00:00

SIG-041 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

YES underpriced Market 24% Ours 45% Gap +21.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-040 geopolitics

PENDING

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

NO underpriced Market 24% Ours 11% Gap +12.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-039 geopolitics

PENDING

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 64% Ours 4% Gap +59.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-038 sports

WIN

Mavericks vs. Bucks?

YES underpriced Market 31% Ours 48% Gap +17.0pp Closes 2026-01-25

SIG-037 geopolitics

PENDING

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 8% Gap +11.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-036 politics

PENDING

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

YES underpriced Market 16% Ours 31% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-11-03

SIG-035 politics

PENDING

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NO underpriced Market 84% Ours 69% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-11-03

SIG-034 general

LOSS

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines

YES underpriced Market 22% Ours 26% Gap +3.5pp Closes 2026-03-29T16:00:00+00:00

SIG-033 politics

PENDING

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

NO underpriced Market 36% Ours 22% Gap +13.5pp Closes 2026-11-03

SIG-032 general

PENDING

Trump out as President before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 18% Ours 2% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-031 geopolitics

PENDING

Will the US acquire any part of Greenland in 2026?

NO underpriced Market 16% Ours 5% Gap +11.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-030 geopolitics

PENDING

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

NO underpriced Market 20% Ours 8% Gap +12.0pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-029 geopolitics

LOSS

US × Iran ceasefire by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 40% Ours 15% Gap +25.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-028 geopolitics

LOSS

US × Iran ceasefire by April 15?

NO underpriced Market 28% Ours 9% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-027 geopolitics

LOSS

US × Iran ceasefire by April 7?

NO underpriced Market 14% Ours 3% Gap +11.0pp Closes 2026-04-07

SIG-026 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

US × Iran ceasefire by April 7?

NO underpriced Market 14% Ours 3% Gap +10.5pp Closes 2026-04-07

SIG-024 politics

WIN

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

YES underpriced Market 46% Ours 65% Gap +18.9pp Closes 2026-03-31

SIG-023 politics

PENDING

Will Keir Starmer be out as UK PM by June 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 44% Ours 20% Gap +24.5pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-022 geopolitics

LOSS

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 64% Ours 38% Gap +25.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-021 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

NO underpriced Market 44% Ours 8% Gap +36.0pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-020 geopolitics

LOSS

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 8% Gap +25.5pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-019 sports

PENDING

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

YES underpriced Market 19% Ours 28% Gap +8.8pp Closes 2026-06-30

SIG-018 sports

PENDING

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–26 NBA MVP?

YES underpriced Market 82% Ours 94% Gap +12.3pp Closes 2026-06-10

SIG-017 politics

PENDING

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

YES underpriced Market 36% Ours 55% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-04-12

SIG-016 geopolitics

WIN

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

NO underpriced Market 26% Ours 13% Gap +12.5pp Closes 2026-03-31

SIG-015 business

PENDING

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

YES underpriced Market 71% Ours 82% Gap +10.2pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-014 politics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

YES underpriced Market 68% Ours 80% Gap +32.5pp Closes 2026-03-31

SIG-013 sports

LOSS

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 16% Gap +19.0pp Closes 2026-04-12

SIG-012 geopolitics

PENDING

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 18% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-010 sports

PENDING

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 26% Gap +8.5pp Closes 2026-05-24

SIG-009 sports

PENDING

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YES underpriced Market 88% Ours 96% Gap +8.5pp Closes 2026-05-27

SIG-008 sports

LOSS

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

YES underpriced Market 53% Ours 65% Gap +12.1pp Closes 2026-05-18

SIG-007 geopolitics

PENDING

Will Netanyahu cease to be PM of Israel by Dec 31, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 50% Ours 28% Gap +21.5pp Closes 2026-12-31

SIG-006 geopolitics

LOSS

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 44% Ours 18% Gap +26.5pp Closes 2026-04-30

SIG-005 geopolitics

LOSS

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15, 2026?

NO underpriced Market 30% Ours 10% Gap +19.5pp Closes 2026-04-15

SIG-004 crypto

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will Bitcoin hit $1M before GTA VI?

NO underpriced Market 49% Ours 2% Gap +46.7pp Closes 2026-07-01

SIG-003 sports

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will OKC win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

YES underpriced Market 50% Ours 60% Gap +9.5pp Closes 2026-06-15

SIG-002 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI?

NO underpriced Market 52% Ours 4% Gap +47.5pp Closes 2026-07-01

SIG-001 geopolitics

NOT_PUBLISHED

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

NO underpriced Market 34% Ours 19% Gap +15.5pp Closes 2026-12-31