{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "generated_at": "2026-05-04T12:37:07.821Z",
  "scan_duration_ms": 13126,
  "errors": [],
  "stats": {
    "poly_markets_scanned": 68898,
    "kalshi_markets_scanned": 1366,
    "candidates_pre_filter": 833,
    "tier1_count": 1,
    "tier2_count": 44,
    "tier3_count": 50,
    "pre_cap_tier1": 1,
    "pre_cap_tier2": 44,
    "pre_cap_tier3": 447,
    "per_tier_cap": 50,
    "history_lookback_days": 14
  },
  "opportunities": [
    {
      "id": "pass2-poly-mono-FED_RATE-above-2026-12-31-quarterly-690220-690221",
      "tier": 1,
      "type": "poly_monotonicity",
      "summary": "Polymarket FED_RATE above-3.00% priced 0.200 but above-3.25% priced 0.460 — strike monotonicity violation (2026-12-31 · quarterly)",
      "underlying": "FED_RATE",
      "resolution_date": "2026-12-31",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "690220",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027/will-the-feds-lower-bound-reach-3pt0-or-lower-before-2027-676-111",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.2,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1907,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.424974Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4500
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "690221",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027/will-the-feds-lower-bound-reach-3pt25-or-lower-before-2027-269",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.54,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1312,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:33.537233Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 345
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 26,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 15.46,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 1312,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.1546,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Long-horizon (240 days) — capital tie-up at 8% annualized eats part of the edge before resolution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T02:37:32.052Z",
        "scans_seen": 157,
        "hours_persisted": 81.99,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          26,
          26,
          26,
          26,
          26.5,
          27,
          26.5,
          26,
          26.5,
          26
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-tx-38-republican-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: TX-38 Republican Primary Winner — 10 legs sum to 1.096 (9.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-26",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1348999",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-jon-bonck-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.948,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 342,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:02.418514Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349001",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-craig-goralski-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 256,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:11.745908Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349002",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-barrett-mcnabb-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.011,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 303,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:24.526746Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349006",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-jennifer-sundt-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0215,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 259,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:27.277471Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349007",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-jeff-yuna-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 294,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:43.8307Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1348998",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-avery-ayers-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0365,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 309,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:37.613874Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 60
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349000",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-shelly-dezevallos-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0225,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 265,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:59.300238Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 27
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349003",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-carmen-montiel-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 245,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:30.812259Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349004",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-michael-pratt-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0195,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 265,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:52.287617Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1349005",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-38-republican-primary-winner/will-larry-rubin-be-the-republican-nominee-for-tx-38",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0205,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 282,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:45.267064Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.65,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 5.52,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 245,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0552,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 10 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T02:24:23.805Z",
        "scans_seen": 122,
        "hours_persisted": 58.21,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.45,
          7.4,
          6.85,
          7,
          9.6,
          6.7,
          9.75,
          9.75,
          9.15,
          9.65
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-primeira-liga-2nd-place-finish-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Primeira Liga: 2nd Place Finish — 2 legs sum to 0.905 (9.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-07",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2068812",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-2nd-place-finish/will-benfica-finish-2nd-in-the-primeira-liga-for-the-2025-26-season",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.745,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 23,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:53.053363Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2068813",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-2nd-place-finish/will-sporting-cp-finish-2nd-in-the-primeira-liga-for-the-2025-26-season",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.16,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 72,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:56.116956Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 91
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 4.17,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 23,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0417,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$23 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T17:43:22.648Z",
        "scans_seen": 63,
        "hours_persisted": 18.9,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026? — 13 legs sum to 1.091 (9.1pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073770",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-35-39",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 98,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:45.683242Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 14
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073811",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-50-54",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 204,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:46.041348Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073819",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-55-59",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 269,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:44.612561Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 450
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073825",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-60plus",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 157,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:03.234598Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073754",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-30-34",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 247,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:45.167683Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073712",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-5-9",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.125,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 122,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.644124Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073719",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-10-14",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 126,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:07.000401Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 120
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073736",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-20-24",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.028,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 159,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:53.468674Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 21
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073745",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-25-29",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.028,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 164,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:27.190779Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073788",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-40-44",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 100,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:56.415162Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073801",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-45-49",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 66,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:54.170766Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 78
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073706",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-0-4",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.85,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 65,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:22.832174Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 196
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2073729",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026/khamenei-of-tweets-april-28-may-5-2026-15-19",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.008,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 139,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:41.297396Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 100
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.1,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 4.03,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 65,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0403,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$65 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T07:39:48.969Z",
        "scans_seen": 42,
        "hours_persisted": 76.96,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.7,
          5.6,
          5.35,
          8.75,
          9.5,
          6.85,
          9.9,
          7,
          7.25,
          9.1
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: NYC Mayor # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026? — 11 legs sum to 1.080 (8.1pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-08",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101790",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-0-19",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0595,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 267,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.438131Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 154
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101796",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-20-39",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.875,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 118,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:40.82091Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 17
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101809",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-60-79",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0265,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 323,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:48.877243Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 17
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101818",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-80-99",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0135,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 332,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:49.685936Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 17
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101826",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-100-119",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.019,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 201,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:25.03465Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 35
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101839",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-120-139",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0265,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 463,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:41.573364Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 697
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101853",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-140-159",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 151,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:47.026864Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 79
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101804",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-40-59",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 221,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:28.794298Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 17
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101871",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-180-199",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 159,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:47.352403Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 17
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101861",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-160-179",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 154,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:49.629107Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 157
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101883",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-1-may-8-2026-200plus",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 261,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:26.87278Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 327
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.05,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 3.31,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 118,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0331,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$118 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T23:23:00.362Z",
        "scans_seen": 120,
        "hours_persisted": 61.24,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.55,
          9.05,
          8.75,
          8.65,
          8.6,
          9.1,
          8.8,
          8.25,
          7.65,
          8.05
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Republic of Ireland vs. Grenada — 3 legs sum to 1.090 (9.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-16",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2022760",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16-ire",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.695,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 57,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.079789Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 25
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2022761",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.33,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 55,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.924621Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2022762",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16/fif-ire-grn-2026-05-16-grn",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 178,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:54.347376Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.78,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 55,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0278,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$55 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T18:32:27.024Z",
        "scans_seen": 60,
        "hours_persisted": 42.08,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6,
          6.5,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          7,
          6,
          9
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-ne-02-house-election-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: NE-02 House Election Winner — 2 legs sum to 0.905 (9.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-11-04",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "942878",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-house-election-winner/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ne-02-house-seat",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.79,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 26,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:11.629843Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "942877",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-house-election-winner/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ne-02-house-seat",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 28,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:40.005297Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.34,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 26,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0134,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$26 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T11:36:40.463Z",
        "scans_seen": 2,
        "hours_persisted": 1.01,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.5,
          9.5
        ],
        "trend": "new"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Seattle on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 0.913 (8.7pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144737",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-59forbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1570,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.338005Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1348
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144738",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-60-61f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1861,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.201387Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1690
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144739",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-62-63f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2030,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.471188Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2254
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144740",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-64-65f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1383,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.4798Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 811
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144741",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-66-67f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 947,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.772366Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1140
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144742",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-68-69f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 759,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:33.563977Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 914
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144743",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-70-71f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 486,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.370477Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1316
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144744",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-72-73f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.295,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 370,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.649482Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 978
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144745",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-74-75f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.365,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 338,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.087106Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 882
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144746",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-76-77f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.14,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 394,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.475779Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 990
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144747",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-may-5-2026-78forhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0345,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 329,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:30.837487Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 6415
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.04,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 329,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0104,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 11 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T05:52:51.041Z",
        "scans_seen": 27,
        "hours_persisted": 30.74,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.05,
          10,
          9.2,
          8.6,
          4.75,
          4.5,
          4.45,
          8.05,
          4,
          8.7
        ],
        "trend": "tightening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Madrid on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.090 (9.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144914",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-14corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.001,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1727,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:37.783109Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 455
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144915",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1308,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.997984Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 922
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144916",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 482,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.915989Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1136
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144917",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 693,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.43425Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1780
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144918",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 391,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.674878Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1844
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144919",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.4,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 359,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.12975Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 821
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144920",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-20c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.415,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 369,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.441594Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1043
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144921",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-21c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 398,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:31.329628Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2122
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144922",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-22c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.014,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 349,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.793592Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1280
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144923",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-23c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1451,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:26.729028Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1230
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144924",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-may-5-2026-24corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1568,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.433948Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2494
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.93,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 349,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0093,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 11 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:07:57.942Z",
        "scans_seen": 83,
        "hours_persisted": 30.49,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.1,
          4.05,
          4.3,
          5.2,
          4.35,
          7.75,
          4.4,
          4.55,
          5.3,
          9
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result — 3 legs sum to 0.920 (8.0pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-10",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2094036",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result-home",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.22,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 244,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:15.892921Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2094037",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.365,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 246,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:53.297323Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 25
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2094038",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result/fl1-hac-olm-2026-05-10-halftime-result-away",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.335,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 258,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:22.320508Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.85,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 244,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0085,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 3 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T08:50:24.709Z",
        "scans_seen": 16,
        "hours_persisted": 3.78,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026? — 9 legs sum to 1.096 (9.6pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-08",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101811",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-60-79",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.05,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 553,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:30.897446Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 742
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101863",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-160-179",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 426,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:29.154043Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 125
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101874",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-180-199",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0255,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 397,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:55.25721Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 127
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101803",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-40-59",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 659,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:42.620769Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2280
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101819",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-80-99",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.215,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 346,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:05.687647Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 502
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101827",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-100-119",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.375,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 378,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:04.802485Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 416
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101837",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-120-139",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.28,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 290,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:55.926092Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 581
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101850",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-140-159",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 262,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:46.168691Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 104
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2101884",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-1-may-8-200plus",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 197,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:40.637123Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 178
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.55,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.85,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 197,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0085,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$197 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T23:07:48.203Z",
        "scans_seen": 62,
        "hours_persisted": 61.49,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.1,
          6.55,
          5.9,
          5.1,
          5.15,
          7.2,
          6.95,
          7.85,
          10,
          9.55
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-mi-11-democratic-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner — 5 legs sum to 1.080 (8.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-08-04",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704052",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-democratic-primary-winner/will-aisha-farooqi-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-11",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.069,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 55,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.426347Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 26
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704054",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-democratic-primary-winner/will-dave-woodward-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-11",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.063,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 71,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:54.839404Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 26
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704051",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-democratic-primary-winner/will-jeremy-moss-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-11",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.815,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 260,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.223524Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 26
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704053",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-democratic-primary-winner/will-andy-levin-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-11",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 241,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:59.287178Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 26
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704055",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-democratic-primary-winner/will-don-ufford-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-11",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.038,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 46,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.91613Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 26
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.82,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 46,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0082,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$46 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T09:54:55.126Z",
        "scans_seen": 92,
        "hours_persisted": 74.7,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.7,
          9.55,
          8.4,
          7.3,
          9.75,
          8.7,
          8.65,
          8.05,
          7.8,
          8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Lagos on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.091 (9.2pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145167",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-27corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1054,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.029421Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7037
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145168",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-28c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.008,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1073,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.341252Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 700
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145169",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-29c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 893,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.058113Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1001
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145170",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-30c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0215,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 288,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:30.035328Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 525
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145171",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-31c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 251,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.486287Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 407
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145172",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-32c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.195,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 218,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:18.009388Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 212
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145173",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-33c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.285,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 212,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.842839Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 362
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145174",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-34c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.335,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 233,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.743386Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 266
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145175",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-35c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 210,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.465858Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 214
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145176",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-36c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 466,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.469939Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 259
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145177",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-lagos-on-may-5-2026-37corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 742,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.054906Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1606
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.15,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.37,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 210,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0037,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 11 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T17:28:15.278Z",
        "scans_seen": 34,
        "hours_persisted": 19.15,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.1,
          8.55,
          9.1,
          7.15,
          6.9,
          8.75,
          4.9,
          5.9,
          5.3,
          9.15
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-mi-10-republican-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: MI-10 Republican Primary Winner — 5 legs sum to 1.097 (9.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-08-04",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "959516",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-10-republican-primary-winner/will-mike-bouchard-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mi-10",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.57,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 45,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:28.433195Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 18
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "959518",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-10-republican-primary-winner/will-casey-armitage-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mi-10",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 388,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:26.145424Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 19
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "959520",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-10-republican-primary-winner/will-justin-kirk-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mi-10",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0765,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 88,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:26.573432Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 18
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "959517",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-10-republican-primary-winner/will-robert-lulgjuraj-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mi-10",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.2815,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 50,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.553746Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 18
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "959519",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-10-republican-primary-winner/will-steven-elliott-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mi-10",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.104,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 39,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:31.043923Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 28
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.32,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 39,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0032,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$39 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T20:21:35.002Z",
        "scans_seen": 8,
        "hours_persisted": 64.26,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.55,
          9.25,
          9.8,
          9.5,
          9.4,
          9.75,
          9.1,
          9.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May? — 15 legs sum to 1.050 (5.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-31",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070206",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-anthropic-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.925,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 900,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:51.54078Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 94
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070208",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-openai-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.039,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 525,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:22.91607Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070210",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-xai-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 305,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:25.164621Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070212",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-baidu-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 308,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:48.07148Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070214",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-amazon-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 409,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:20.643916Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070216",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-mistral-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 293,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:40.546547Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070218",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-meituan-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 291,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:53.716703Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070220",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-microsoft-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 305,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:46.400693Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070207",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-google-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0275,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 353,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:43.882063Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 37
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070209",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-alibaba-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 295,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:48.776797Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 83
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070211",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-bytedance-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 294,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:48.315223Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 77
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070213",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-moonshot-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 281,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:40.186777Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070215",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-zai-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.034,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 642,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:27.67597Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070217",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-deepseek-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 360,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:42.444976Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2070219",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-may/will-meta-have-the-best-coding-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 417,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.530162Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 166
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.95,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.17,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 281,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0017,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 15 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T12:48:05.738Z",
        "scans_seen": 245,
        "hours_persisted": 71.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.9,
          6.7,
          6.25,
          5.7,
          5.25,
          5.8,
          5.35,
          5.55,
          4.15,
          4.95
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner — 9 legs sum to 1.073 (7.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-24",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681019",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-akel-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.465,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 933,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:32.785259Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 48
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681021",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-elam-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0465,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1236,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.27497Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681023",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-dipa-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1842,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.012159Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681025",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-volt-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1815,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.044608Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681018",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-disy-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.55,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 834,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:11.606341Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681020",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-diko-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1663,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.346459Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681022",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-edek-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1716,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.381437Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681024",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-kosp-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1647,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.467378Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "681026",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cyprus-house-of-representatives-election-winner/will-dnm-dek-win-the-most-seats-at-the-cyprus-house-of-representatives-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1580,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.00846Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.25,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.02,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 834,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0002,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 9 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:17:48.246Z",
        "scans_seen": 125,
        "hours_persisted": 92.32,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.35,
          5.5,
          6.3,
          5.1,
          7,
          4.3,
          6.75,
          6.75,
          5.75,
          7.25
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        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: LPL 2026 Split 2 Winner — 14 legs sum to 1.092 (9.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-30",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901252",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-weibo-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.019,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 477,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.730769Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 35
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901257",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-invictus-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 514,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.41777Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901263",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-thundertalk-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 263,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:19.266304Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901265",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-ultra-prime-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 279,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.568236Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901248",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-bilibili-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.5,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 69,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.316974Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 56
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901256",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-top-esports-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.15,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 148,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.892891Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901259",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-team-we-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 267,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:13.783136Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901261",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-oh-my-god-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 294,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:12.154555Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901250",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-jd-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.12,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 68,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:32.501348Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901254",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-anyones-legend-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.255,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 63,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:19.04429Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 31
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901260",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-lng-esports-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 275,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.255137Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901262",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-edward-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 284,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.826691Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901264",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-lgd-gaming-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 169,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:13.345094Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1901258",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lpl-2026-split-2-winner/will-ninjas-in-pyjamas-win-lpl-2026-split-2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.017,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 88,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.638872Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.25,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.29,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 63,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0029,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 14 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:27:09.762Z",
        "scans_seen": 67,
        "hours_persisted": 93.17,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.75,
          9.65,
          9,
          8.7,
          8.15,
          8.9,
          9.3,
          8.3,
          8.2,
          9.25
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-next-james-bond-actor-635-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Next James Bond actor? — 15 legs sum to 0.931 (6.8pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-30",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572110",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/aaron-taylor-johnson-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.01,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 845,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:48.308341Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 974
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572133",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/no-one-announced-as-next-james-bond-962",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.675,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 385,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.625125Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 741
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572111",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/james-norton-announced-as-next-james-bond-575",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 572,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:16.468425Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 699
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572112",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/paul-mescal-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 577,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.820913Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 687
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572114",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/jacob-elordi-announced-as-next-james-bond-216",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 390,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.894593Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 345
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572115",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/harris-dickinson-announced-as-next-james-bond-784",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 510,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.570219Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 442
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572116",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/tom-hardy-announced-as-next-james-bond-996-479",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.443815Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 820
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572117",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/pierce-brosnan-announced-as-next-james-bond-557",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1174,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 693
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572118",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/tom-holland-announced-as-next-james-bond-679",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1296,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.764046Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 199
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572119",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/henry-cavill-announced-as-next-james-bond-857-642",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1390,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:56.100104Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1199
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572121",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/callum-turner-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.2065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 496,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.281025Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 757
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572122",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/jack-lowdon-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1008,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.797753Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 882
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572123",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/theo-james-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.011,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 322,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.045448Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 434
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572124",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/james-collier-announced-as-next-james-bond",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 416,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "572125",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635/placeholder-6-announced-as-next-james-bond-114",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 856,
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      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.49,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 322,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0049,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 15 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T17:05:06.592Z",
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          4.35,
          4.3,
          4.35,
          4.45,
          4.45,
          4.45,
          4.3,
          6.9,
          6.85
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.075 (7.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144704",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-18corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1569,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.570782Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7980
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144705",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1189,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.610946Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1375
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144706",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1116,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:30.626194Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144707",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-21c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.016,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.623672Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 896
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144708",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-22c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.096,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 476,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.650637Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 826
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144709",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-23c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.255,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 383,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.350145Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144710",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-24c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.365,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.612271Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144711",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-25c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.26,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.846655Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144712",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.05,
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144713",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0125,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.6137Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144714",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-may-5-2026-28corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1261,
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      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 249,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0105,
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      "confidence_flags": [
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        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:23:06.188Z",
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          7.5
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result-underpriced",
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      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC - Halftime Result — 3 legs sum to 0.940 (6.0pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-10",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093834",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result-home",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.335,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 342,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:38.956213Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 35
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093835",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.42,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 343,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:59.982915Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 111
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093836",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result/sea-fio-gen-2026-05-10-halftime-result-away",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 388,
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      "edge_gross_pct": 6,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -1.07,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 342,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0107,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T16:27:48.511Z",
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          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          6
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.065 (6.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145101",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-10corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1458,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.372164Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 579
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145102",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-11c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1295,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.987721Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145103",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-12c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.001,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 628,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.132357Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1606
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145104",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-13c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 310,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.427085Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 953
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145105",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-14c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0345,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 412,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:30.079211Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2074
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145106",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.415,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 265,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.511397Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1179
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145107",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.43,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 279,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.802955Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1009
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145108",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.1315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 321,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.983688Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1033
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145109",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 448,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.598761Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1823
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145110",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 584,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.843578Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 580
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145111",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-may-5-2026-20corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1188,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.844659Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 764
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      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 6.55,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -1.27,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 265,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0127,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 11 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T05:07:29.112Z",
        "scans_seen": 73,
        "hours_persisted": 31.49,
        "gross_pct_history": [
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          4.9,
          5.25,
          4.8,
          5.4,
          4.35,
          4.9,
          5,
          4.4,
          6.55
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        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-minas-gerais-governor-election-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner — 10 legs sum to 1.095 (9.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-10-04",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088926",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-cleitinho-azevedo-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.58,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 182,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:47.335405Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 130
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088928",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-nikolas-ferreira-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 137,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:09.91738Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088930",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-mateus-simes-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.091,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 175,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:45.324603Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088932",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-acio-neves-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 130,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.706605Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088934",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-gabriel-azevedo-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088936",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-benoni-mendes-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0565,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 192,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:59.302127Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088927",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-rodrigo-pacheco-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 150,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:52.721481Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 450
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088929",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-alexandre-kalil-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.155,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 150,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:47.338253Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088931",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-tadeu-leite-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 130,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:35.10003Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2088933",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner/will-alexandre-silveira-win-the-2026-minas-gerais-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 126,
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      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -1.53,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 126,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0153,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 10 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
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        "gross_pct_history": [
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          8.85,
          8.2,
          7.75,
          9.8,
          9.4,
          9.7,
          9.5
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        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
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      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in London on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.065 (6.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144671",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-11corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2659,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.752737Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3102
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144672",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-12c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3747,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.782027Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1297
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144673",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-13c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.138042Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144674",
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          "side": "YES",
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          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144675",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0205,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 631,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.549419Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
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          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.21,
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144677",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.425,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 439,
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144678",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.35,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 362,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.586798Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4717
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144679",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0465,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 481,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.017446Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2867
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144680",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-20c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.008,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 574,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.008011Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3176
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144681",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-5-2026-21corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1538,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.049462Z",
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      "edge_gross_pct": 6.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -1.61,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 362,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0161,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 11 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch"
      ],
      "persistence": {
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        "scans_seen": 51,
        "hours_persisted": 31.49,
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          4.6,
          5,
          4.2,
          4.7,
          4.7,
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-bitcoin-price-on-may-5-overpriced",
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      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Bitcoin price on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.062 (6.2pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "BTC",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106971",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-less-than-68000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2800,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:30.205927Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3928
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106973",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-68000-70000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2271,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:09.064626Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5019
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106974",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-70000-72000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 479,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:26.682599Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7097
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106976",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-72000-74000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1829,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:49.466891Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 888
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106978",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-74000-76000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1724,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:31.802971Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2543
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106981",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.27,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1789,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.540455Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2882
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106983",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-78000-80000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.47,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:24.716342Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106985",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-80000-82000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.22,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1803,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:01.097833Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1638
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106988",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.029,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2064,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 2559
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106989",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-84000-86000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2123,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:57.510439Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 97
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2106993",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-5/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-greater-than-86000-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3210,
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      "edge_gross_pct": 6.2,
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      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 11 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
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        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
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        "scans_seen": 20,
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          6.15,
          4.9,
          4.15,
          4.45,
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        "trend": "stable"
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    {
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      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-08-11",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
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          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799358",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-julia-coleman-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0125,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 581,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:03.849201Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 42
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799360",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-tom-weiler-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 564,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:56.490069Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799362",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 395,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:25.653123Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 42
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799364",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-david-hann-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 447,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:29.541226Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799366",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-christopher-brooks-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:49.312254Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
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          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-michele-tafoya-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota-282",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.77,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.341321Z",
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        {
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          "market_id": "799357",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-royce-white-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0655,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.414242Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799359",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-kristin-robbins-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 583,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:28.567643Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799361",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-adam-schwarze-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.173,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 247,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.533334Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799363",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-raymond-petersen-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 523,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.975208Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799365",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-alycia-gruenhagen-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 374,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:32.311891Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "799367",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-jim-nash-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.012,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 437,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:58.355382Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 97
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.65,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.31,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 242,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0231,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 12 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T17:18:20.379Z",
        "scans_seen": 163,
        "hours_persisted": 91.31,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.65,
          4.1,
          7.65,
          7.95,
          9.1,
          8.65,
          7.95,
          8,
          7.5,
          5.65
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Tunisia vs. Japan — 3 legs sum to 1.055 (5.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-21",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897154",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.275,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 740,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:58.899334Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897155",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21-jpn",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.58,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1105,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:56.792848Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897153",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21/fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21-tun",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.2,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2035,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.073997Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.37,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 740,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0237,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T14:03:41.897Z",
        "scans_seen": 70,
        "hours_persisted": 70.56,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.5,
          4.5,
          5,
          5,
          4.5,
          4.5,
          5.5,
          8.5,
          8,
          5.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming — 3 legs sum to 0.955 (4.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1910534",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04-uvi",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.465,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1753,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:23.063739Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 127
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1910536",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.235,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2233,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.576644Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 85
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1910538",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04/bol1-uvi-blo-2026-05-04-blo",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.255,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1711,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.031791Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 19
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.46,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 1711,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0246,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T12:37:07.821Z",
        "scans_seen": 1,
        "hours_persisted": 0,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.5
        ],
        "trend": "new"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: 2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner — 19 legs sum to 1.047 (4.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-08",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920453",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-carlos-alcaraz-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0175,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1509,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.539228Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 172
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920456",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0555,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1250,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:58.1184Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 16
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920462",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-daniil-medvedev-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 592,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.846276Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920454",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-jannik-sinner-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.715,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1322,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.425329Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1054
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920457",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-lorenzo-musetti-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.031,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 588,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:51.320409Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 16
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920459",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-felix-auger-aliassime-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 435,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:02.721181Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920466",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-karen-khachanov-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.032,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 566,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.659502Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 16
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920468",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-flavio-cobolli-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0255,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 369,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:50.360692Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920470",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-tommy-paul-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 483,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.381971Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920455",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.07,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 915,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.772921Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 91
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920460",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-ben-shelton-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 510,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.384826Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920463",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-alexander-bublik-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 487,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.926032Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920464",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-casper-ruud-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.014,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 408,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.244326Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 73
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920465",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-jiri-lehecka-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 458,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:14.322986Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920471",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-francisco-cerundolo-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.008,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 559,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:23.292238Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 78
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920458",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-alex-de-minaur-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 483,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:01.936895Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920461",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-taylor-fritz-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.014,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 480,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.12105Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920467",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-andrey-rublev-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 675,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.041679Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1920469",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner/will-alejandro-davidovich-fokina-win-the-2026-roland-garros-mens-singles",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 577,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:52.889943Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.65,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.51,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 369,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0251,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 19 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T23:34:54.873Z",
        "scans_seen": 54,
        "hours_persisted": 37.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.5,
          4.25,
          4.35,
          4.85,
          4.85,
          4.85,
          5.35,
          5.4,
          4.5,
          4.65
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: HUS Agadir vs. OC Safi — 3 legs sum to 0.955 (4.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-04",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2109621",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04-hua",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.325,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1021,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:50.768172Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2109622",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.31,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 749,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:29.789228Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 80
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2109623",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04/mar1-hua-ocs-2026-05-04-ocs",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.32,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1003,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:36.646669Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 13
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.71,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 749,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0271,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T01:32:01.035Z",
        "scans_seen": 5,
        "hours_persisted": 11.09,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7,
          7,
          6.5,
          7,
          4.5
        ],
        "trend": "tightening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.053 (5.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145068",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-10corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 596,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.2618Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 263
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145069",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-11c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 232,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:00.234505Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 341
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145070",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-12c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 235,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:53.389114Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1248
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145071",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-13c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 316,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:56.281833Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1233
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145072",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-14c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.395,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 295,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:00.22885Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 513
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145073",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.375,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 274,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.038757Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 504
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145074",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.18,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 326,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:57.361428Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 653
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145075",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0225,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 354,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.124341Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 870
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145076",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 251,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.474416Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 523
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145077",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 423,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.65318Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 307
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145078",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-may-5-2026-20corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1160,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:17.773968Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 243
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.35,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.71,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 232,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0271,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 11 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:38:12.436Z",
        "scans_seen": 31,
        "hours_persisted": 29.98,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.5,
          4,
          5.2,
          5.75,
          6.4,
          4.6,
          6.7,
          4.6,
          4.05,
          5.35
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC — 3 legs sum to 1.045 (4.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-06",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922136",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06-omi",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.46,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 341,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:16.749026Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 148
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922137",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.29,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 331,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:12.219634Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 159
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922138",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06/j2100-omi-iwa-2026-05-06-iwa",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.295,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 301,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:17.985941Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 141
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.84,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 301,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0284,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T20:59:54.532Z",
        "scans_seen": 5,
        "hours_persisted": 15.62,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.5,
          8.5,
          10,
          5,
          4.5
        ],
        "trend": "tightening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-april-inflation-us-annual-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: April Inflation US - Annual — 11 legs sum to 1.056 (5.6pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "CPI",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-12",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937952",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt1-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1017,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:53.653528Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 449
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937953",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt2-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1059,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.634078Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 123
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937954",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt3-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1070,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.278514Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 315
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937955",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt4-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 805,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.098905Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937956",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt5-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0765,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1318,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.722654Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 758
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937957",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt6-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.175,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2310,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.087254Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 72
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937958",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt7-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.379,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1827,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.384931Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2934
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937959",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt8-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.3035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1801,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:12.0145Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1112
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937960",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-3pt9-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.061,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 833,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:32.018381Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 636
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937961",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-4pt0-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1299,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.078649Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 322
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1937962",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual/will-annual-inflation-increase-by-4pt1-in-april",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.011,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1191,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.288868Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 306
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.6,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.85,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 805,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0285,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 11 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:16:22.291Z",
        "scans_seen": 149,
        "hours_persisted": 93.35,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.95,
          5.9,
          4.95,
          6.55,
          6.1,
          5.25,
          6,
          5.8,
          5.6,
          5.6
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre — 3 legs sum to 1.045 (4.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-06",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922139",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06-van",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.325,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 291,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.174243Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 186
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922140",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.35,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 316,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.643301Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 222
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1922141",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06/j2100-van-sho-2026-05-06-sho",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.37,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 278,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.836647Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 217
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -2.98,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 278,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0298,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T00:46:41.517Z",
        "scans_seen": 19,
        "hours_persisted": 11.84,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4,
          4,
          7.5,
          9,
          9,
          8.5,
          8.5,
          7.5,
          4,
          4.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026? — 9 legs sum to 1.066 (6.6pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-16",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009763",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-4pt0-and-4pt3",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.016,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 432,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.964099Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 36
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009765",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-4pt6-and-4pt9",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.415,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 764,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:46.617438Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 116
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009767",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-5pt2-and-5pt5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.155,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 306,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.812082Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 106
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009769",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-5pt8-and-6pt1",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 269,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:50.139932Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 36
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009762",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-less-than-4pt0",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 326,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:49.034978Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 36
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009764",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-4pt3-and-4pt6",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 273,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.013676Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 96
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009766",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-4pt9-and-5pt2",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.355,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 304,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.51135Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 254
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009768",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-between-5pt5-and-5pt8",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 247,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.569127Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 36
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2009770",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q2-2026/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-be-at-least-6pt1",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 366,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:11.544494Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 36
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 6.6,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -3.07,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 247,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0307,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 9 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:48:01.855Z",
        "scans_seen": 82,
        "hours_persisted": 91.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.1,
          5.9,
          5.65,
          8.5,
          7.6,
          7.05,
          6.95,
          4.25,
          6.85,
          6.6
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) — 22 legs sum to 1.083 (8.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-09-13",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088471",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-jannik-sinner-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.46,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5899,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.411823Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 42
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088473",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.036,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5795,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:25.143129Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 35
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088474",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-jack-draper-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5778,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:19.090457Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088482",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-alexander-bublik-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.01,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6225,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.432753Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088476",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-ben-shelton-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5944,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.31767Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088478",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-daniil-medvedev-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.019,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6082,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.451366Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088480",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-felix-auger-aliassime-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9583,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:10.600635Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088486",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-jiri-lehecka-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.011,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6276,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.041216Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088488",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-matteo-berrettini-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0135,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6169,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:36.479352Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088491",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-hubert-hurkacz-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.022,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9977,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.219725Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 57
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088483",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-lorenzo-musetti-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9598,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.986338Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088492",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-grigor-dimitrov-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 893,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.234873Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088472",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-carlos-alcaraz-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.19,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5877,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:16.965696Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 76
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088475",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-alexander-zverev-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6059,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:14.806312Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 35
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088477",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-taylor-fritz-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 10384,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.729676Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088479",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-joao-fonseca-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6465,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:05.630949Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088481",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-jakub-mensik-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5432,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.916477Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088484",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-holger-rune-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6163,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:13.370935Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088485",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-arthur-fils-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0135,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9930,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.629659Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088487",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-flavio-cobolli-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.1005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6048,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:11.757369Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088489",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-andrey-rublev-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0505,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3775,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:43.733717Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1088490",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis/will-frances-tiafoe-win-the-2026-mens-us-open",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0125,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 6051,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.81538Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.35,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -3.15,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 893,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0315,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 22 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T23:00:51.508Z",
        "scans_seen": 41,
        "hours_persisted": 13.6,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.2,
          8.85,
          8.9,
          9.4,
          9.95,
          10,
          9.35,
          9.35,
          8.9,
          8.35
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        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place — 17 legs sum to 1.041 (4.2pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-31",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037913",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-gustavo-bolvar-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1049,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.287548Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037915",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-juan-manuel-galn-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1000,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.46578Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 498
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037920",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-roy-barreras-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1076,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.824963Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 353
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037914",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-sergio-fajardo-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1045,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:11.738121Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 755
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037916",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-germn-vargas-lleras-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1209,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.216321Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 744
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037919",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.59,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1140,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:13.648481Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1431
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037921",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-daniel-quintero-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1142,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.355491Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037922",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-juan-carlos-pinzn-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 926,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.772209Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037924",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-enrique-pealosa-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1218,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.188679Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037908",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-vicky-dvila-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1288,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.03011Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037910",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-claudia-lpez-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1011,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:12.433263Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037911",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-david-luna-snchez-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 971,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.73628Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037912",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-juan-daniel-oviedo-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 977,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:49.534299Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 445
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037918",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1595,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.56499Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 613
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037923",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-mauricio-crdenas-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1110,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.987397Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 731
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037909",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-luis-gilberto-murillo-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1064,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.914187Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2037917",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place/will-paloma-valencia-place-2nd-in-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.375,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 639,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.504632Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 641
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.15,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -3.59,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 639,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0359,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 17 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:02:11.754Z",
        "scans_seen": 65,
        "hours_persisted": 93.58,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.15,
          4.5,
          4.9,
          4.35,
          5.45,
          5.3,
          4.85,
          4.2,
          4,
          4.15
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-may-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: # of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026? — 4 legs sum to 1.040 (4.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-31",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2071646",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-may-2026/will-there-be-fewer-than-2-chatgpt-outages-in-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 418,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:52.32216Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1070
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2071648",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-may-2026/will-there-be-exactly-3-chatgpt-outages-in-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.15,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 271,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:42.626925Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 881
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2071647",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-may-2026/will-there-be-exactly-2-chatgpt-outages-in-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.365,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 285,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:50.32467Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 308
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2071649",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-may-2026/will-there-be-4-or-more-chatgpt-outages-in-may-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.21,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 393,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:40.260184Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 882
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -4.51,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 271,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0451,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 4 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T20:04:34.341Z",
        "scans_seen": 30,
        "hours_persisted": 88.54,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5,
          4.5,
          4,
          5,
          5,
          5.5,
          7,
          4,
          4,
          4
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026-underpriced",
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        {
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        },
        {
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          "side": "YES",
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        },
        {
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        {
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        {
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        {
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.01,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:43.182317Z",
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        },
        {
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:21.748902Z",
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        {
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          4.8,
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    },
    {
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      "underlying": "OTHER",
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          "price": 0.525,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 823,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:40.008929Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1138
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1370617",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026/will-zai-be-the-first-company-to-have-an-ai-model-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 741,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:45.137851Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 24
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 6.2,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -6.39,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 455,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0639,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 9 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:02:11.754Z",
        "scans_seen": 14,
        "hours_persisted": 93.58,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.9,
          7.8,
          5.05,
          5,
          5.15,
          4.7,
          6.25,
          5.8,
          4.8,
          6.2
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — 13 legs sum to 0.946 (5.4pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "FED_RATE",
      "resolution_date": "2026-12-31",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616902",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.541,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 21362,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.30518Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10194
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616903",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.165,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9339,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:06.687236Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3931
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616904",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9341,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.441866Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 706
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616905",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-3-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 20964,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.007686Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 228
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616906",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-4-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.021,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 11794,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.190033Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 310
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616907",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-5-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.011,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 19037,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.461611Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5955
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616908",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-6-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 18679,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.759658Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 8933
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616909",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-7-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 14344,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.415257Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3946
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616910",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-8-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 11088,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.045437Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 37807
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616911",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-9-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 32832,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.269265Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 56362
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616912",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-10-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 32182,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.744592Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 58573
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616913",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-11-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 38437,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.664278Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 45129
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "616914",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/will-12-or-more-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 8916,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.743074Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 13465
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.4,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -7.07,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 8916,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0707,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 13 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T23:16:00.874Z",
        "scans_seen": 5,
        "hours_persisted": 13.35,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.25,
          5.6,
          5.55,
          5.45,
          5.4
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition-underpriced",
      "tier": 2,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition? — 4 legs sum to 0.946 (5.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2027-06-30",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "897018",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition/will-comcast-close-warner-bros-acquisition",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 978,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:52.128159Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2881
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "897030",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition/no-listed-company-closes-warner-bros-acquisition-by-june-30-2027",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.195,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 387,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:32.798282Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 400
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "897017",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition/will-netflix-close-warner-bros-acquisition",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0225,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 328,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.982112Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2724
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "897019",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition/will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.725,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 473,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.58009Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 38
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.45,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -8.89,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 328,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0889,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 4 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T20:49:53.381Z",
        "scans_seen": 4,
        "hours_persisted": 87.79,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.9,
          5.8,
          6,
          5.45
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner — 3 legs sum to 0.919 (8.1pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-19",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "906831",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-john-ventre-win-the-2026-pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0295,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 76,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "906830",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-stacy-garrity-win-the-2026-pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.88,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 24,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:12.417957Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 9
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "906832",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-doug-mastriano-win-the-2026-pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.01,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 396,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.05,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 4.58,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 24,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0458,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$24 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T15:31:12.233Z",
        "scans_seen": 30,
        "hours_persisted": 45.1,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          2.8,
          2.75,
          2.75,
          2.8,
          2.75,
          2.8,
          3.65,
          3.2,
          3,
          8.05
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Obolon Kyiv — 3 legs sum to 1.090 (9.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-13",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2138622",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13-shd",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.82,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 71,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.613303Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2138625",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 80,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2138627",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13/ukr1-shd-obo-2026-05-13-obo",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 103,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 3.79,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 71,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0379,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$71 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T11:55:40.441Z",
        "scans_seen": 13,
        "hours_persisted": 24.69,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          10,
          10,
          10,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-ga-09-republican-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: GA-09 Republican Primary Winner — 3 legs sum to 1.080 (8.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-19",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1663741",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-09-republican-primary-winner/will-gregg-poole-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ga-09",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.072,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 46,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1663739",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-09-republican-primary-winner/will-andrew-clyde-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ga-09",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.898,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 231,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.229556Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1663740",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-09-republican-primary-winner/will-sam-couvillon-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ga-09",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.11,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 42,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 3.63,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 42,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0363,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$42 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:48:01.855Z",
        "scans_seen": 16,
        "hours_persisted": 91.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.55,
          7.55,
          7.1,
          4.55,
          4.9,
          4.7,
          9.7,
          8.85,
          8.4,
          8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-ne-02-democratic-primary-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner — 4 legs sum to 0.901 (9.9pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-12",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704090",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-democratic-primary-winner/will-john-cavanaugh-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ne-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.435,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 102,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:02.581977Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 13
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704092",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-democratic-primary-winner/will-mark-johnston-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ne-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 367,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704091",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-democratic-primary-winner/will-denise-powell-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ne-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.465,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 110,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.799792Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 13
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "704093",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-democratic-primary-winner/will-evangelos-argyrakis-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ne-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 321,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.9,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 3.62,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 102,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0362,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$102 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T00:35:21.400Z",
        "scans_seen": 22,
        "hours_persisted": 36.03,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.4,
          7.4,
          7.9,
          6.4,
          8.9,
          6.4,
          8.4,
          7.9,
          7.9,
          9.9
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Karachi on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.086 (8.6pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145233",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-28corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1587,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.887824Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 426
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145234",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-29c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1480,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:34.597769Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 143
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145235",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-30c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1597,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145236",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-31c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1594,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.2342Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 99
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145237",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-32c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1401,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:37.939609Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 366
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145238",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-33c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1014,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.559434Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 328
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145239",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-34c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 662,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.613824Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 817
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145240",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-35c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 236,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:28.139954Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 173
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145241",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-36c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0275,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 236,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.407738Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 682
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145242",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-37c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.25,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 182,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:30.14627Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 337
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145245",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-may-5-2026-38corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.79,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 63,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:00.761454Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 483
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.55,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.85,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 63,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0285,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$63 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T07:38:40.618Z",
        "scans_seen": 42,
        "hours_persisted": 28.97,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.8,
          6.8,
          8.3,
          8.35,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          6.75,
          5.65,
          6.65,
          8.55
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Kerala Blasters FC vs. Mohammedan SC — 3 legs sum to 1.095 (9.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-10",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1962014",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10-ker",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.62,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 320,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:34.20186Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 30
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1962015",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.265,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 212,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1962016",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10/isp-ker-moh-2026-05-10-moh",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.21,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 210,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.6,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 210,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.026,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 3 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T01:32:01.035Z",
        "scans_seen": 10,
        "hours_persisted": 11.09,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9.5,
          9,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7,
          9.5,
          9.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-next-first-minister-of-scotland-313-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Next First Minister of Scotland? — 7 legs sum to 1.057 (5.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-07",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062306",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-russell-findlay-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-247",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 98,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062308",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-ross-greer-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-419",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 62,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062310",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-alex-cole-hamilton-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-772",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 67,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062305",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-john-swinney-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-395",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9675,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 260,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:45.145347Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062307",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-anas-sarwar-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-368",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0575,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 206,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062309",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-gillian-mackay-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-759",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 91,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062311",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-first-minister-of-scotland-313/will-malcolm-offord-be-the-next-first-minister-of-scotland-following-the-2026-scottish-parliamentary-elections-649",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 200,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.56,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 62,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0256,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$62 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T23:21:03.087Z",
        "scans_seen": 197,
        "hours_persisted": 85.27,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          2.45,
          2.45,
          5.05,
          5.25,
          6.8,
          6.3,
          6.45,
          7.1,
          4.8,
          5.7
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Top 14: ASM Clermont Auvergne vs Perpignan — 3 legs sum to 1.085 (8.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-16",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1954868",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09-asm",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.735,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 103,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.059166Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 10
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1954869",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.235,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 146,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1954870",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09/rutopft-asm-per-2026-05-09-per",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 184,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.42,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 103,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0242,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$103 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T07:34:48.015Z",
        "scans_seen": 20,
        "hours_persisted": 5.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.5,
          9,
          9,
          9,
          9,
          9,
          9,
          9,
          8.5,
          8.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-ga-13-democratic-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner — 8 legs sum to 1.077 (7.8pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-19",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653184",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-joe-lester-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 104,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.289491Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653178",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-david-scott-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0555,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 44,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:34.219248Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 137
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653179",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-everton-blair-jr-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.17,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 32,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.452503Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653181",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-jeffree-fauntleroy-sr-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 282,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:59.573553Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653185",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-pierre-whatley-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 286,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.007186Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653180",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-jasmine-clark-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.82,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 50,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653182",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-emanuel-jones-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.012,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 185,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.036153Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1653183",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-13-democratic-primary-winner/will-heavenly-kimes-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ga-13",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0125,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 208,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:48.706601Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 20
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.75,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.27,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 32,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0227,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$32 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:48:01.855Z",
        "scans_seen": 86,
        "hours_persisted": 91.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.25,
          8.3,
          8.15,
          7.8,
          6.85,
          7.8,
          8.8,
          9.65,
          8,
          7.75
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner — 9 legs sum to 0.943 (5.8pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-07",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008740",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-zami-ali-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 278,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008741",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-john-gerald-bullard-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 357,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008742",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-mohammed-abdul-hannan-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 335,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008743",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-sirajul-islam-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0195,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 699,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.143883Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008744",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-hirra-khan-adeogun-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 364,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:13.176851Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008745",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-terence-mcgrenera-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 279,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008746",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-dominic-aidan-nolan-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 265,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.836483Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008747",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-hugo-pierre-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 318,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.464413Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2008748",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tower-hamlets-mayoral-election-winner/will-lutfur-rahman-win-the-2026-london-borough-of-tower-hamlets-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 262,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:23.936197Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 391
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.75,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 2.27,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 262,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0227,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 9 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T07:34:48.015Z",
        "scans_seen": 20,
        "hours_persisted": 5.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.05,
          4.3,
          3.65,
          5.95,
          6.05,
          6.15,
          6.25,
          6.3,
          5.65,
          5.75
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-who-will-win-top-chef-season-23-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Who will win Top Chef Season 23? — 15 legs sum to 1.082 (8.2pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-31",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336032",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-rhoda-magbitang-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.905,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 109,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336033",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-duyen-ha-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.021,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 442,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.122707Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 58
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336034",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-brandon-dearden-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0145,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 386,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:29.592027Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 109
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336035",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-oscar-diaz-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 405,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:09.604255Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 186
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336036",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-sherry-cardoso-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 302,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:46.288885Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 236
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336037",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-sieger-bayer-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 453,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.531604Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 180
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336038",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-jaspratap-jassi-bindra-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 402,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:06.413878Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 208
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336039",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-brittany-cochran-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 372,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:42.577394Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 160
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336040",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-jonathan-dearden-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 310,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:17.698846Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 334
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336041",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-jennifer-lee-jackson-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 410,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:43.507059Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 149
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336042",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-anthony-jones-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 325,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336043",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-day-anas-joseph-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 387,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:27.216034Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 163
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336044",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-laurence-louie-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.074,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 264,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336045",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-justin-tootla-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 383,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1336046",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-top-chef-season-23/will-nana-araba-wilmot-win-top-chef-season-23",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 373,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.2,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.86,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 109,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0186,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$109 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T02:22:22.554Z",
        "scans_seen": 168,
        "hours_persisted": 82.25,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.6,
          6.55,
          7.2,
          7.15,
          7,
          7.8,
          7.35,
          6.05,
          6.6,
          8.2
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5? — 8 legs sum to 1.049 (5.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133476",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-hotschedules-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0505,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 142,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:23.19829Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 201
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133478",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-procreate-pocket-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 156,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:24.927134Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 189
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133480",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-ye-said-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 183,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.204297Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 115
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133482",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-skyview-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 161,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:48.63166Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 285
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133475",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-shadowrocket-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.965,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 93,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.879746Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 158
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133477",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-dualshot-recorder-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 192,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:23.294961Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 98
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133479",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-ankimobile-flashcards-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 193,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.303993Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 98
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133481",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-tonalenergy-tuner-metronome-be-1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 190,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.730509Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 98
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.95,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.81,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 93,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0181,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$93 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T08:27:12.819Z",
        "scans_seen": 65,
        "hours_persisted": 52.17,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.85,
          7.7,
          4.3,
          5.9,
          5.55,
          5.35,
          5.05,
          5.7,
          5.2,
          4.95
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-md-01-democratic-primary-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner — 4 legs sum to 0.925 (7.5pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-23",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2044974",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/md-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-victor-guidice-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-01",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 46,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2044976",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/md-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-george-walsh-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-01",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 37,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2044975",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/md-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-dan-schwartz-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-01",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.765,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 25,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2044977",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/md-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-randi-white-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-01",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.05,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 33,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.674301Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 46
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.77,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 25,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0177,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$25 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T14:57:05.208Z",
        "scans_seen": 45,
        "hours_persisted": 21.67,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8,
          9,
          9,
          6,
          9.5,
          6,
          10,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: What will be the top global Netflix show this week? — 9 legs sum to 1.059 (6.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118706",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-stranger-things-tales-from-85-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-356",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 501,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:28.162876Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 570
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118700",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-unchosen-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0455,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 651,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:01.944399Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1563
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118703",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-man-on-fire-season-1-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.885,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 362,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:18.569856Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 9004
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118704",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-beef-season-2-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-893",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:41.809819Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 94
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118705",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-hulk-hogan-real-american-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-331",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 654,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:32.950467Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 227
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118708",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-million-dollar-secret-season-2-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 524,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:03.328562Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 171
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118701",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-running-point-season-2-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-653",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 534,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.853794Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 315
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118702",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-should-i-marry-a-murderer-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.111,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:14.89256Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 616
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118707",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-712/will-straight-to-hell-season-1-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
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      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.51,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 186,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0151,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$186 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
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          6.7,
          7,
          7.85,
          5.2,
          5.25,
          5.25,
          6.45,
          6.05,
          5.95
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Toronto on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.097 (9.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144726",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-7corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.001,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1971,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:34.280946Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 576
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144727",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-8c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2077,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:32.209531Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 501
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144728",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-9c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2088,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.707859Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 522
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144729",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-10c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1872,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.450972Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 765
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144730",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-11c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1058,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.040063Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 871
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144731",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-12c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 457,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.694793Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 681
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144732",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-13c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 454,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.257353Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144733",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-14c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0495,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 437,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.096487Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1105
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144734",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.245,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 309,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.523373Z",
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144735",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.335,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 304,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 713
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144736",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-may-5-2026-17corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.445,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 114,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 963
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      "edge_gross_pct": 9.65,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.46,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 114,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0146,
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      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:07:57.942Z",
        "scans_seen": 59,
        "hours_persisted": 30.49,
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          6.8,
          5.7,
          7.2,
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        "trend": "widening"
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    {
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      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 - Halftime Result — 3 legs sum to 0.920 (8.0pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-09",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093481",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result-home",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.495,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 316,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093482",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 316,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:27.829862Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2093483",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result/bun-lei-pau-2026-05-09-halftime-result-away",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.11,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 0
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      "edge_gross_pct": 8,
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      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0138,
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      "confidence_flags": [
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        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
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          8,
          8,
          8.5,
          8.5,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.096 (9.6pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144693",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-24corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:51.199366Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3841
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144694",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-25c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 625,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.410545Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 108
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144695",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-26c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 318,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:28.299826Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 482
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144696",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-27c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.165,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 216,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.432614Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 408
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144697",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-28c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.44,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 207,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.183395Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 250
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144698",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-29c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.32,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 196,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.989461Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 354
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144699",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-30c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.11,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 203,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.284929Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 63
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144700",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-31c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.028,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 191,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:49.172004Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 223
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144701",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-32c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 875,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.931078Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 132
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144702",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-33c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1171,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.37182Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 567
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144703",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-may-5-2026-34corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1537,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.0306Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 585
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      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.6,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.26,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 191,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0126,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$191 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:23:06.188Z",
        "scans_seen": 38,
        "hours_persisted": 30.23,
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          5.7,
          6.2,
          7.25,
          4.8,
          4.9,
          5.85,
          4.75,
          7.75,
          9.6
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.099 (9.9pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145145",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-27corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 880,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.595855Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1381
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145146",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-28c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 673,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.624302Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1572
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145147",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-29c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 545,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.926007Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3113
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145148",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-30c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.023,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 486,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.417463Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1275
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145149",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-31c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 288,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.387864Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1672
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145150",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-32c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.405,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 283,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.351762Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 959
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145151",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-33c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.227,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 126,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.254517Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1030
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145152",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-34c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.2605,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 157,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:26.47126Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3577
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145153",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-35c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0565,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 761,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.38109Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 8575
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145154",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-36c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1438,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.300224Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1017
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145155",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-jakarta-on-may-5-2026-37corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1124,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.291458Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 999
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.9,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.19,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 126,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0119,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$126 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T13:11:15.150Z",
        "scans_seen": 19,
        "hours_persisted": 23.43,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.65,
          8.9,
          8.75,
          7.85,
          9.95,
          8.3,
          9.95,
          8.15,
          8.35,
          9.9
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 4? — 7 legs sum to 0.923 (7.7pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-04",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137509",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-60-61f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.012,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 203,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:28.060235Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2862
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137510",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-62-63f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0345,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 194,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:24.142551Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2109
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137511",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-64-65f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.225,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 88,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:49.998365Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1446
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137512",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-66-67f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.55,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 65,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.572707Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4428
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137513",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-68-69f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.067,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 77,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:52.134141Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4948
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137514",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-70-71f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0285,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 154,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.841082Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4847
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137515",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-may-4-2026-72forhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 486,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.477437Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1986
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.16,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 65,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0116,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$65 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T01:32:01.035Z",
        "scans_seen": 8,
        "hours_persisted": 11.09,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.85,
          5.35,
          8.15,
          9.2,
          8.25,
          9.55,
          7.4,
          7.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner — 5 legs sum to 1.048 (4.8pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-19",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "821611",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner/will-jamel-brown-win-the-2026-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.023,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 265,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "821613",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner/will-doug-jones-win-the-2026-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9335,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 639,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:00.831983Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 85
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "821610",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner/will-will-boyd-win-the-2026-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0325,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 286,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:37.276591Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 65
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "821612",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner/will-yolanda-flowers-win-the-2026-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 315,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "821614",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-democratic-primary-winner/will-chad-chig-martin-win-the-2026-alabama-governor-democratic-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0475,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 291,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.1,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 265,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.011,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 5 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:48:01.855Z",
        "scans_seen": 106,
        "hours_persisted": 91.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.15,
          3.6,
          3.9,
          3.6,
          4.7,
          4.85,
          4.95,
          4.6,
          3.95,
          4.8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Which company has second best AI model end of June? — 15 legs sum to 0.903 (9.7pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-30",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631161",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-anthropic-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.455,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 356,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:52.748548Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1007
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631163",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-alibaba-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 767,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631165",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-xai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 738,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.809122Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 69
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631167",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 908,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631169",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-meituan-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 955,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631171",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-meta-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 521,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631173",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-baidu-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1069,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631160",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-google-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.27,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 185,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:42.738744Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 170
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631162",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-openai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.091,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 636,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631164",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1065,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.268947Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 150
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631166",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-deepseek-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0165,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 591,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631168",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-mistral-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 810,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631170",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-microsoft-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 840,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631172",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-amazon-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 936,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "631174",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june/will-bytedance-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 759,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.08,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 185,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0108,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$185 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T19:59:22.416Z",
        "scans_seen": 37,
        "hours_persisted": 16.63,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.4,
          5.85,
          7.85,
          8.85,
          8.5,
          8.4,
          9.15,
          9.45,
          8.95,
          9.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5? — 9 legs sum to 0.951 (4.8pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133445",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-chatgpt-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.8805,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 74,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:33.967238Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2074
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133447",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-claude-by-anthropic-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0485,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 133,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.546213Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 225
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133449",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-meta-ai-assistant-glasses-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 244,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:17.302957Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 50
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133451",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-freecash-get-paid-real-money-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 87,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:52.533539Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 183
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133453",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-netflix-game-controller-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 130,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.736308Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 174
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133446",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-google-gemini-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 87,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.751805Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 182
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133448",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-google-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 87,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.368402Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 172
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133450",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-threads-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 104,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:50.08163Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 166
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2133452",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5/will-turbotax-file-your-tax-return-be-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-5",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 69,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.702183Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 565
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.85,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1.07,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 69,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0107,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$69 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T19:48:11.573Z",
        "scans_seen": 48,
        "hours_persisted": 40.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.5,
          6.6,
          6.6,
          6.6,
          4.75,
          5,
          4.85,
          5.05,
          5.05,
          4.85
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10? — 8 legs sum to 0.957 (4.3pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-10",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127080",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-anthropic-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.01,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 391,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.370827Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 99
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127082",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-openai-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.92,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 108,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.786009Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 434
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127084",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-zai-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 405,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:27.651301Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 48
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127086",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-deepseek-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 314,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127081",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-google-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0145,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 271,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.642478Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 75
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127083",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-xiaomi-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 415,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.30682Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 29
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127085",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-minimax-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 319,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2127087",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-may-4-10/will-xai-have-the-second-highest-estimated-revenue-for-may-4may-10-2026",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 416,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.218337Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 37
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.3,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 1,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 108,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.01,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$108 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T08:42:20.493Z",
        "scans_seen": 46,
        "hours_persisted": 51.91,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.95,
          3.1,
          3.15,
          3.25,
          3.1,
          3.05,
          2.9,
          3.05,
          3.2,
          4.3
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.087 (8.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145189",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-16corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1896,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.960139Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 606
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145190",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2338,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.092719Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 690
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145191",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1800,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:28.679455Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 470
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145192",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1790,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.702957Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 525
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145193",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-20c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1395,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.215204Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1600
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145194",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-21c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 902,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.310366Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1910
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145195",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-22c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 115,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.315859Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 591
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145196",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-23c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.026,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 58,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:31.648753Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 195
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145197",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-24c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 50,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.14254Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 65
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145198",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-25c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 50,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.149194Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 76
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2145199",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-5-2026-26corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.545,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 19,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.573677Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 51
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.98,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 19,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0098,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$19 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:07:57.942Z",
        "scans_seen": 10,
        "hours_persisted": 30.49,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9,
          9.7,
          9.3,
          8.7,
          7.9,
          7.95,
          7.95,
          9.05,
          8.7,
          8.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-sejong-mayoral-election-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Sejong Mayoral Election Winner — 2 legs sum to 1.044 (4.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-03",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062685",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sejong-mayoral-election-winner/will-cho-sangho-win-the-2026-sejong-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9725,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 266,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2062686",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sejong-mayoral-election-winner/will-choi-min-ho-win-the-2026-sejong-mayoral-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.071,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 65,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.731917Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.35,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.96,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 65,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0096,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$65 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T19:49:22.637Z",
        "scans_seen": 111,
        "hours_persisted": 88.8,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.35,
          3.1,
          4.8,
          6.65,
          5.4,
          6.6,
          4.5,
          4.35,
          3.9,
          4.35
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory — 3 legs sum to 0.967 (3.3pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-04-21",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897464",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory/will-the-virginia-constitutional-amendment-referendum-pass-by-3-6",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9575,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1696,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:01.872622Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 68
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897465",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory/will-the-virginia-constitutional-amendment-referendum-pass-by-less-than-3",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5865,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:15.366288Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 171
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897463",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory/will-the-virginia-constitutional-amendment-referendum-pass-by-6-9",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1573,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3.3,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.82,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 1573,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0082,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 3 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T14:59:23.468Z",
        "scans_seen": 330,
        "hours_persisted": 93.63,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.35,
          3.35,
          3.35,
          3.35,
          3.35,
          3.35,
          3.4,
          3.3,
          3.4,
          3.3
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? — 10 legs sum to 1.040 (4.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118540",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-apex-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-355",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.006,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 301,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:32.742381Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 109
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118542",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-roommates-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-926",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0235,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 494,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:59.287563Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 151
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118544",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-bugonia-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 335,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:44.17635Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 163
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118546",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-thrash-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-676",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 459,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:23.989731Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 419
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118548",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-den-of-thieves-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 239,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:07.349879Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 166
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118541",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-swapped-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9625,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 468,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:21.108541Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 867
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118543",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-180-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-861",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0285,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 614,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:29.614211Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 223
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118545",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-ari-shaffer-jew-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 202,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:40.231329Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 239
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118547",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-miraculous-world-paris-tales-of-shadybug-and-claw-noir-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 374,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:57.096705Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 541
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118549",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-883/will-the-proposal-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 368,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:13.537153Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 125
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3.95,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.69,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 202,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0069,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 10 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T17:47:21.025Z",
        "scans_seen": 80,
        "hours_persisted": 42.83,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.65,
          4.4,
          6,
          5.45,
          4.25,
          3.55,
          4.25,
          4.1,
          3.9,
          3.95
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-nc-05-house-election-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: NC-05 House Election Winner — 2 legs sum to 0.918 (8.2pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-11-03",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1284026",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-05-house-election-winner/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nc-05-house-seat",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0635,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 270,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1284025",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-05-house-election-winner/will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-05-house-seat",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.855,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 182,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:07.371321Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.15,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.68,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 182,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0068,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$182 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T14:59:23.468Z",
        "scans_seen": 111,
        "hours_persisted": 93.63,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.2,
          8.3,
          8,
          8.2,
          8.05,
          8.25,
          8.25,
          8.25,
          8.2,
          8.15
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? — 8 legs sum to 1.044 (4.3pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-01",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063129",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-belete-molla-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 254,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:08.455991Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063131",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-alesa-mengesha-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0175,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 288,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063133",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-shimelis-abdisa-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 306,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063135",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-gedion-timothewos-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.017,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 344,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:05.30883Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 9
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063128",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-abiy-ahmed-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9555,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 943,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:20.423649Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 8
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063130",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-berhanu-nega-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.017,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 300,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063132",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-demeke-mekonnen-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0055,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 256,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2063134",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia/will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0135,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 73,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.35,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.66,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 73,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0066,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$73 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T04:38:23.319Z",
        "scans_seen": 104,
        "hours_persisted": 79.98,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.6,
          3.8,
          7.25,
          6.6,
          3.3,
          3.4,
          3.75,
          4.95,
          4.25,
          4.35
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner — 10 legs sum to 0.928 (7.2pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-02",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824260",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-greg-hull-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.65,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 261,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:33.587836Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 25
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824262",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-brian-cillessen-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0145,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 366,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824264",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-duke-rodriguez-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.195,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 266,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:39.421622Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 164
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824266",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-judith-nakamura-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 547,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824268",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-john-sanchez-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.028,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 566,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824261",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-steve-lanier-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 492,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824263",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-belinda-robertson-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 480,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824265",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-mark-murphy-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 594,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824267",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-susana-martinez-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.009,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 494,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "824269",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-doug-turner-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 366,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.15,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.63,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 261,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0063,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 10 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T00:06:22.567Z",
        "scans_seen": 190,
        "hours_persisted": 84.51,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.2,
          7.1,
          7.2,
          6.75,
          7,
          7.2,
          7.05,
          6.7,
          6.8,
          7.15
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner — 5 legs sum to 1.088 (8.8pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-09",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "703946",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02/will-jared-golden-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.1015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 256,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "703948",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02/will-joe-baldacci-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.55,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 104,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "703950",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02/will-paige-loud-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 44,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "703947",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02/will-matthew-dunlap-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.3,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 60,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.043842Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 411
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "703949",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02/will-jordan-wood-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-me-02",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.135,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 13,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.62,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 13,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0062,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$13 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T21:52:17.368Z",
        "scans_seen": 4,
        "hours_persisted": 62.75,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.05,
          8.35,
          7.45,
          8.8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Jordan vs. Argentina — 3 legs sum to 1.075 (7.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-28",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897441",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.24,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 87,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897442",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27-arg",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.73,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 179,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897440",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27/fifwc-jor-arg-2026-06-27-jor",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.105,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2005,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.624729Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 224
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 7.5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.52,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 87,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0052,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$87 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T03:32:58.375Z",
        "scans_seen": 36,
        "hours_persisted": 9.07,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5,
          7.5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) — 15 legs sum to 1.067 (6.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-31",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975004",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-bytedance-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0205,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 549,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.010726Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975012",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-mistral-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 305,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.013692Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975020",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-microsoft-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 66,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975000",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-alibaba-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.017,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 183,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:04.3113Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975002",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-xai-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 270,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:14.496024Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 166
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1974991",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-anthropic-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.795,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 195,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:18.602111Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 690
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1974993",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-google-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.1355,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 142,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:16.23502Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975005",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-baidu-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 165,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:53.080543Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 131
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975006",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-moonshot-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.013,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 199,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:21.998598Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1974996",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-openai-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0345,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 176,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:05.434581Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975017",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-meituan-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0115,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 180,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:10.600647Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975007",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-amazon-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 202,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:18.60023Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975009",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-zai-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 319,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:41.192119Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975015",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-deepseek-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 148,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:12.551068Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 71
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1975018",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on/will-meta-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-style-control-on",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 199,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:47.954204Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 83
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 6.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.42,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 66,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0042,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$66 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T15:19:15.775Z",
        "scans_seen": 44,
        "hours_persisted": 69.3,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          8.9,
          8.35,
          8.1,
          7.65,
          7.3,
          8.55,
          9,
          6.55,
          6.65,
          6.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Beijing on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.089 (8.9pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144958",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-28corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 387,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:37.877123Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2604
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144959",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-29c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.19,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 298,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.920671Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 896
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144960",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-30c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.405,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 192,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.00881Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 400
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144961",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-31c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.315,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 100,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.736224Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 391
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144962",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-32c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.095,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 123,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.750285Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1150
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144963",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-33c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.027,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 245,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:16.307586Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2356
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144964",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-34c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0085,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 781,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.867914Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1958
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144965",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-35c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1087,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.967792Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 345
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144966",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-36c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1938,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.369258Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2892
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144967",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-37c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2014,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:37.012684Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 935
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144968",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-may-5-2026-38corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1488,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:18.947919Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 110
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8.95,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.41,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 100,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0041,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$100 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T06:38:12.436Z",
        "scans_seen": 23,
        "hours_persisted": 29.98,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6.7,
          5.3,
          5.05,
          7.25,
          6.1,
          5.6,
          5.1,
          4.7,
          6.15,
          8.95
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-farrer-by-election-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Farrer By-Election Winner — 5 legs sum to 1.057 (5.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-09",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1389569",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farrer-by-election-winner/will-rebecca-scriven-win-the-by-election-for-the-seat-of-farrer-in-the-australian-house-of-representatives",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 605,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:44.062333Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 92
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1389571",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farrer-by-election-winner/will-raissa-butkowski-win-the-by-election-for-the-seat-of-farrer-in-the-australian-house-of-representatives",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 590,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:20.01143Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 83
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1389568",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farrer-by-election-winner/will-michelle-milthorpe-win-the-by-election-for-the-seat-of-farrer-in-the-australian-house-of-representatives",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.275,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 340,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:43.075884Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 673
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1389570",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farrer-by-election-winner/will-helen-dalton-win-the-by-election-for-the-seat-of-farrer-in-the-australian-house-of-representatives",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1475,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:46.195796Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 85
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1389572",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farrer-by-election-winner/will-david-farley-win-the-by-election-for-the-seat-of-farrer-in-the-australian-house-of-representatives",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.775,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 138,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:46.77584Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 729
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.37,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 138,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0037,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$138 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T11:36:40.463Z",
        "scans_seen": 4,
        "hours_persisted": 1.01,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.2,
          5.7,
          6.2,
          5.7
        ],
        "trend": "widening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6? — 11 legs sum to 1.091 (9.2pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-06",
      "resolution_type": "daily",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152596",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-17corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 57,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:19.480301Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 808
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152597",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 63,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:14.878345Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 740
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152598",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.019,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 239,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:14.848531Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 586
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152599",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-20c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0505,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 53,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:45.608778Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 201
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152600",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-21c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.11,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 73,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:44.717539Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 151
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152601",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-22c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.295,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 8
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152602",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-23c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.29,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 43,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152603",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-24c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.27,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 48,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:15.600272Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 21
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152604",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-25c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.04,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 71,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:14.206468Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 264
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152605",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-26c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 115,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:14.924945Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1197
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2152606",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026/lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026-27corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 70,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:47.204006Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 952
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      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 9.15,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.28,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 42,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0028,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$42 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-04T12:37:07.821Z",
        "scans_seen": 1,
        "hours_persisted": 0,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9.15
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        "trend": "new"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in NYC on May 4? — 11 legs sum to 1.071 (7.1pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-04",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137218",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-61forbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 634,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:49.984664Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4928
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137219",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-62-63f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 655,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.232448Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 524
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137220",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-64-65f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 446,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.256057Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 7024
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137221",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-66-67f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 439,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 5990
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137222",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-68-69f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.02,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 114,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.376031Z",
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137223",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-70-71f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.25,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 168,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.508956Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 6318
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137224",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-72-73f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.655,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 173,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.241954Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 5817
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137225",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-74-75f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.13,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 98,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:53.209027Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4421
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137226",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-76-77f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 349,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.243416Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4244
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137227",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-78-79f",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 459,
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          "volume_24h_usd": 2070
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137228",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-4-2026-80forhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 696,
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      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.18,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 98,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0018,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$98 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-02T08:57:26.105Z",
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        "hours_persisted": 51.66,
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          6.75,
          8.5,
          4.55,
          4.1,
          4.5,
          5.05,
          5,
          7.85,
          7.1
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 5? — 11 legs sum to 1.081 (8.1pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
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          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144847",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-14corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.001,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1872,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:36.700176Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1743
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144848",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-15c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1702,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.349246Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 182
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144849",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-16c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1268,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:35.925464Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144850",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-17c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 585,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:33.442731Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144851",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-18c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0065,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 384,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.538087Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 852
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144852",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-19c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.06,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 235,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:44.481785Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144853",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-20c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.305,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 205,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.727144Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 685
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144854",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-21c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.485,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 213,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:40.785152Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 305
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144855",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-22c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.19,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 209,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:31.2141Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 296
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144856",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-23c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.02,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 169,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:43.74015Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 624
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2144857",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-may-5-2026-24corhigher",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.007,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 840,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:31.019258Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 301
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      "edge_gross_pct": 8.1,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.07,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 169,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0007,
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      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "low_volume"
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      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T04:52:21.868Z",
        "scans_seen": 45,
        "hours_persisted": 31.75,
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          7.6,
          6.6,
          9.05,
          8.4,
          9.5,
          8.1,
          4.45,
          8.1
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        "trend": "stable"
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    },
    {
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      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
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      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-03",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
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          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-kim-dong-yeon-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
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          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679492",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-choo-mi-ae-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
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          "depth_usd_at_price": 1019,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:07.817488Z",
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679494",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-han-jun-ho-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
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          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.803497Z",
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        {
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          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-yoo-seong-min-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
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          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
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          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1810,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679500",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-won-hee-ryong-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3823,
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        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679502",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-lee-jun-seok-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2240,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679504",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-na-kyung-won-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3124,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679491",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-kim-byeong-ju-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 4726,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679493",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-yeom-tae-yeong-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1914,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679495",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-lee-un-ju-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2078,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679497",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-kim-eun-hye-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3947,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:09.403184Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1823
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        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679499",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-kim-moon-soo-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.002,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3395,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679501",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election-winner/will-ahn-cheol-soo-win-the-2026-gyeonggi-province-gubernatorial-election",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0025,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2206,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:08.402837Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 80
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4.3,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.01,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 1019,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0001,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Multi-leg basket — all 14 legs must fill before any individual price moves, otherwise the violation closes mid-execution.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T22:52:48.508Z",
        "scans_seen": 83,
        "hours_persisted": 61.74,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4.05,
          4.05,
          4.05,
          4.05,
          4.3,
          4.3,
          4.3,
          4.3,
          4.3,
          4.3
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? — 10 legs sum to 0.966 (3.4pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-05",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118481",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-apex-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-518",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.004,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 235,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:06.469239Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 460
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118482",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-swapped-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9275,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 304,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:10.378056Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1012
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118483",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-roommates-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-451",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.02,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 408,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:43.670722Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 164
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118484",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-180-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-934",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 152,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118485",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-bugonia-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 275,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:34:48.122528Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 210
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118486",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-ari-shaffer-jew-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 173,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:10.620334Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 128
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118487",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-thrash-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-621",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 131,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118488",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-miraculous-world-paris-tales-of-shadybug-and-claw-noir-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0005,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 111,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:06.608819Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 342
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118489",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-den-of-thieves-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 186,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:35:07.474462Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 128
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2118490",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-976/will-the-proposal-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0045,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 172,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3.35,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": 0.01,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 111,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": 0.0001,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Polymarket depth on the thinnest leg limits fill to ~$111 before slippage exceeds the edge.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T20:14:32.220Z",
        "scans_seen": 9,
        "hours_persisted": 16.38,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.15,
          3.5,
          3.35,
          3.1,
          3.6,
          3.9,
          4.1,
          3.9,
          3.35
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-iowa-republican-senate-primary-winner-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner — 4 legs sum to 1.034 (3.5pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-02",
      "resolution_type": "weekly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679398",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-jim-carlin-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-iowa",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0455,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 124,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679400",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-joshua-smith-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-iowa",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0265,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 154,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679397",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-john-berman-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-iowa",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 78,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "679399",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-ashley-hinson-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-iowa",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.961,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1291,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:38.481011Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 29
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3.45,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.11,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 78,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0011,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 4 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T16:48:01.855Z",
        "scans_seen": 3,
        "hours_persisted": 91.82,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5.35,
          3.9,
          3.45
        ],
        "trend": "tightening"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner-underpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner — 4 legs sum to 0.950 (5.0pp underpriced; buy-all-YES)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-09",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "599354",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-lindsey-graham-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.805,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 843,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:29.821189Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 923
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "599355",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-paul-dans-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0075,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 794,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "599356",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-mark-lynch-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.136,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 210,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:19.269405Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "599357",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner/will-thomas-murphy-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 750,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.13,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 210,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0013,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 4 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T11:02:13.723Z",
        "scans_seen": 62,
        "hours_persisted": 73.58,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          6,
          5.95,
          6.3,
          6.3,
          6.5,
          6.5,
          6,
          6,
          6,
          5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Lowest temperature in Paris on May 4? — 7 legs sum to 1.027 (2.7pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-05-04",
      "resolution_type": "hourly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137010",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-7corbelow",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.003,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 434,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:20.050552Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 417
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137012",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-8c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 191,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:22.180417Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 827
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137013",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-9c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0015,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 126,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:25.901717Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 839
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137014",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-10c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 254,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.503285Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 403
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137015",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-11c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0035,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 76,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:51.716561Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 325
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137016",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-12c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.0355,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 101,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:48.697262Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1030
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "2137017",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-4-2026-13c",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.9765,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 293,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:45.533599Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1124
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 2.7,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.15,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 76,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0015,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 7 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T01:35:54.861Z",
        "scans_seen": 23,
        "hours_persisted": 35.02,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3.1,
          2.95,
          2.8,
          3.25,
          6.7,
          4.9,
          6.25,
          5.4,
          5.25,
          2.7
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass1-poly-sum-fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18-overpriced",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "poly_sum_violation",
      "summary": "Polymarket negRisk: Mexico vs. Korea Republic — 3 legs sum to 1.080 (8.0pp overpriced; buy-all-NO)",
      "underlying": "OTHER",
      "resolution_date": "2026-06-19",
      "resolution_type": "monthly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897116",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18-draw",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.285,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1342,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897117",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18-kr",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.27,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2453,
          "last_trade_at": null,
          "volume_24h_usd": 0
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "1897115",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18/fifwc-mex-kr-2026-06-18-mex",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.525,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2147,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:19.59334Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 13
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 8,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -0.2,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 1342,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.002,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees at any size — sum violation exists but Polymarket fees + spread on 3 legs consume it.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "fee_tight",
        "resolution_mismatch",
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume"
      ],
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T10:40:05.476Z",
        "scans_seen": 12,
        "hours_persisted": 25.95,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          9,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8,
          8
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-btc-year-end-2026-BTC-above-130000-poly701493-kalshiKXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-129999.99",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:btc-year-end-2026] BTC above-$130,000 — Polymarket YES 0.125 vs Kalshi YES 0.165 (Kalshi higher by 4.0pp)",
      "underlying": "BTC",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701493",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-reach-130000-by-december-31-2026-756-151-855",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.125,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 26226,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:59.084935Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1595
        },
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-129999.99",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-129999.99",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.835,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 444,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T10:34:36.234788Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3504
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -5.79,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 444,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0579,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "btc-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:34:51.557Z",
        "scans_seen": 229,
        "hours_persisted": 93.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-btc-year-end-2026-BTC-above-110000-poly701495-kalshiKXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-109999.99",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:btc-year-end-2026] BTC above-$110,000 — Polymarket YES 0.265 vs Kalshi YES 0.315 (Kalshi higher by 5.0pp)",
      "underlying": "BTC",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701495",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-reach-110000-by-december-31-2026-658-339-969",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.265,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 13400,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:14.737468Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 6222
        },
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-109999.99",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-109999.99",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.685,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 2462,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T10:34:20.333845Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 1093
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 5,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -6.02,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 2462,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0602,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "fee_tight",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "btc-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:34:51.557Z",
        "scans_seen": 295,
        "hours_persisted": 93.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5,
          5
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-btc-year-end-2026-BTC-above-120000-poly701494-kalshiKXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-119999.99",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:btc-year-end-2026] BTC above-$120,000 — Polymarket YES 0.185 vs Kalshi YES 0.215 (Kalshi higher by 3.0pp)",
      "underlying": "BTC",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701494",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-reach-120000-by-december-31-2026-625-425-562",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.185,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 5636,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:48.802117Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 718
        },
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-119999.99",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-119999.99",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.785,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 715,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T10:34:58.334372Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2495
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -7.34,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 715,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0734,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "btc-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-04-30T15:34:51.557Z",
        "scans_seen": 188,
        "hours_persisted": 93.04,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-eth-year-end-2026-ETH-above-3500-poly701549-kalshiKXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:eth-year-end-2026] ETH above-$3,500 — Polymarket YES 0.405 vs Kalshi YES 0.365 (Poly higher by 4.0pp)",
      "underlying": "ETH",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.365,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 99,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T09:42:03.073271Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 3782
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701549",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027/will-ethereum-reach-3500-by-december-31-2026",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.595,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3432,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:59.74801Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 2573
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 4,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -7.5,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 99,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.075,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "depth_limited",
        "fee_tight",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "eth-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-01T12:32:58.438Z",
        "scans_seen": 67,
        "hours_persisted": 72.07,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          3,
          3.5,
          4,
          2.5,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4,
          4
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-eth-year-end-2026-ETH-above-4000-poly701548-kalshiKXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:eth-year-end-2026] ETH above-$4,000 — Polymarket YES 0.265 vs Kalshi YES 0.235 (Poly higher by 3.0pp)",
      "underlying": "ETH",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.235,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 641,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T09:42:03.267281Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 209
        },
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701548",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027/will-ethereum-reach-4000-by-december-31-2026",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.735,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 1189,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:31:39.834851Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 512
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 3,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -7.77,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 641,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0777,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "low_volume",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "eth-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T12:41:00.920Z",
        "scans_seen": 89,
        "hours_persisted": 23.94,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          2,
          3,
          3.5,
          3.5,
          3.5,
          3.5,
          3,
          3,
          3,
          3
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pass4-curated-btc-year-end-2026-BTC-above-100000-poly701496-kalshiKXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-99999.99",
      "tier": 3,
      "type": "cross_platform",
      "summary": "[curated:btc-year-end-2026] BTC above-$100,000 — Polymarket YES 0.425 vs Kalshi YES 0.445 (Kalshi higher by 2.0pp)",
      "underlying": "BTC",
      "resolution_date": "2027-01-01",
      "resolution_type": "quarterly",
      "legs": [
        {
          "platform": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "701496",
          "market_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-reach-100000-by-december-31-2026-571-361-361",
          "side": "YES",
          "price": 0.425,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 9522,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-05-04T12:32:03.050127Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 11618
        },
        {
          "platform": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-99999.99",
          "market_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-99999.99",
          "side": "NO",
          "price": 0.555,
          "depth_usd_at_price": 3501,
          "last_trade_at": "2026-04-09T10:34:58.233609Z",
          "volume_24h_usd": 4781
        }
      ],
      "edge_gross_pct": 2,
      "edge_net_estimate_pct": -9.64,
      "max_executable_size_per_leg_usd": 3501,
      "edge_net_per_dollar": -0.0964,
      "weakest_link_summary": "Net edge negative after fees — Poly taker + Kalshi 0.07·C·P·(1−P) + spread + bridge consume the spread.",
      "confidence_flags": [
        "stale_price",
        "curated_pair"
      ],
      "curated_pair_id": "btc-year-end-2026",
      "persistence": {
        "first_seen_at": "2026-05-03T21:30:07.998Z",
        "scans_seen": 25,
        "hours_persisted": 15.12,
        "gross_pct_history": [
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2,
          2
        ],
        "trend": "stable"
      }
    }
  ],
  "track_record": {
    "lookback_days": 14,
    "total_observed": 1999,
    "active": 95,
    "left_feed": 1904,
    "among_active": {
      "closed_substantially": 5,
      "tightened": 16,
      "stable": 58,
      "widened": 16
    },
    "among_active_pct": {
      "closed_substantially": 5.3,
      "tightened": 16.8,
      "stable": 61.1,
      "widened": 16.8
    },
    "left_feed_reasons": {
      "leg_expired": 863,
      "leg_delisted": 199,
      "spread_closed": 833,
      "unknown": 9
    },
    "median_lifetime_hours": 9.87,
    "by_tier": {
      "1": {
        "total_observed": 6,
        "active": 1,
        "left_feed": 5,
        "among_active": {
          "closed_substantially": 0,
          "tightened": 0,
          "stable": 1,
          "widened": 0
        },
        "left_feed_reasons": {
          "leg_expired": 3,
          "leg_delisted": 0,
          "spread_closed": 2,
          "unknown": 0
        }
      },
      "2": {
        "total_observed": 730,
        "active": 44,
        "left_feed": 686,
        "among_active": {
          "closed_substantially": 2,
          "tightened": 14,
          "stable": 25,
          "widened": 3
        },
        "left_feed_reasons": {
          "leg_expired": 282,
          "leg_delisted": 61,
          "spread_closed": 342,
          "unknown": 1
        }
      },
      "3": {
        "total_observed": 1263,
        "active": 50,
        "left_feed": 1213,
        "among_active": {
          "closed_substantially": 3,
          "tightened": 2,
          "stable": 32,
          "widened": 13
        },
        "left_feed_reasons": {
          "leg_expired": 578,
          "leg_delisted": 138,
          "spread_closed": 489,
          "unknown": 8
        }
      }
    }
  }
}